Methodology + Track record

How every signal is built — and how the system has actually performed.

Three strategies vote on every closed candle. A volatility filter and session filter veto noise. An ATR-based risk engine sets the entry, stop, and target. Below is the live, unfiltered record from every signal we have closed.

ShowLast 7 days Last 30 days All time

Closed trades

Win rate

37.2%

Total R

-3.00R

Avg R / trade

-0.07R

Profit factor

0.89

Max DD (R)

-9.00

Cumulative R (equity curve) · Last 7 days

43 trades

Live algo simulation

Replay the same engine against the last 7 days of XAU/USD.

Three strategies, the production filter stack, ATR risk engine — all bar-by-bar on real TwelveData candles.

Run simulation →

1 · Context filters

Refuse to trade when the market environment is wrong.

›Session filter — only trade during liquid London / NY overlap; skips dead Asian doldrums and pre-market gap risk.
›Volatility filter — ATR(14) on the entry timeframe must sit inside a sane band; we skip both flat-line and news-spike conditions.

2 · Three strategies vote

No single setup is the whole truth — each must defend its weight.

›EMA pullback — bias from H1 EMA50; on M5, wait for a pullback to the slow EMA and a clean close back through the fast EMA, confirmed by RSI(14).
›ORB breakout — record the high/low of the first 30 min after London (07:00 UTC) and NY (12:00 UTC) opens; vote when an M5 candle closes decisively outside the range.
›VWAP reaction — on M5, after 5 bars of session bias, fade the wick that pierces VWAP and closes back through it.

3 · Aggregate & threshold

Conviction = winning weight − opposing weight, normalised.

›Buy votes and sell votes are summed separately. The dominant side wins; the opposing weight is subtracted to penalise mixed signals.
›We require net ≥ 0.55 across the strategies before any signal is allowed to fire.

4 · Risk engine

ATR-based, transparent, no curve-fitted magic numbers.

›Stop loss = entry ± 1.5 × ATR(14, M5) — tight enough to keep R:R meaningful on a 5-minute timeframe, with the volatility filter on M15 making sure we never enter a dead-market chop.
›Take profit = SL distance × 1.5 — fixed reward-to-risk so a 50 % win rate is structurally profitable.
›The same engine produces the entry, SL, and TP printed in every Telegram message — no hidden levels.

Recent closed trades

last 30

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

4007.87 → 4012.04

30/10/2026, 07:20

-1.00R

-41.7 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5TP

4017.49 → 4011.47

30/10/2026, 06:50

+1.50R

+60.2 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

4021.11 → 4027.17

29/10/2026, 16:00

-1.00R

-60.6 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

4023.43 → 4027.90

29/10/2026, 15:10

-1.00R

-44.7 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

4038.96 → 4044.67

29/10/2026, 08:05

-1.00R

-57.1 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4070.21 → 4055.37

29/10/2026, 05:30

-1.00R

-148.4 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

4038.72 → 4043.18

29/10/2026, 00:00

-1.00R

-44.6 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5TP

4044.22 → 4037.48

28/10/2026, 23:10

+1.50R

+67.4 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4048.86 → 4043.74

28/10/2026, 21:30

-1.00R

-51.2 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4048.00 → 4044.92

28/10/2026, 19:05

-1.00R

-30.8 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4047.08 → 4043.51

28/10/2026, 18:05

-1.00R

-35.7 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4053.55 → 4049.40

28/10/2026, 17:15

-1.00R

-41.5 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5TP

4047.02 → 4053.52

28/10/2026, 15:45

+1.50R

+65.0 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5TP

4039.65 → 4045.31

28/10/2026, 15:05

+1.50R

+56.6 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4058.49 → 4050.46

28/10/2026, 08:55

-1.00R

-80.3 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5TP

4042.34 → 4054.51

27/10/2026, 22:05

+1.50R

+121.7 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5TP

4032.63 → 4043.53

27/10/2026, 21:35

+1.50R

+109.0 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4025.90 → 4020.14

27/10/2026, 20:35

-1.00R

-57.6 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4025.39 → 4019.44

27/10/2026, 19:50

-1.00R

-59.5 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5TP

4011.48 → 4021.68

27/10/2026, 19:30

+1.50R

+102.0 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

3995.77 → 4000.83

27/10/2026, 17:45

-1.00R

-50.6 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

3996.73 → 4002.07

27/10/2026, 17:00

-1.00R

-53.4 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

4013.12 → 4016.15

27/10/2026, 03:55

-1.00R

-30.3 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4024.99 → 4020.05

27/10/2026, 00:45

-1.00R

-49.4 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4026.24 → 4018.42

26/10/2026, 22:30

-1.00R

-78.2 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5SL

3992.94 → 3998.79

26/10/2026, 21:10

-1.00R

-58.5 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5TP

4003.22 → 3994.87

26/10/2026, 20:55

+1.50R

+83.5 pips

SELLXAUUSDM5TP

4012.69 → 4005.20

26/10/2026, 20:35

+1.50R

+74.9 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5SL

4024.83 → 4020.33

26/10/2026, 19:45

-1.00R

-45.0 pips

BUYXAUUSDM5TP

4016.39 → 4021.80

26/10/2026, 19:30

+1.50R

+54.1 pips

Closed	Pair	Side	Entry	Close	Pips	R	Outcome
30/10/2026, 07:20	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4007.87	4012.04	-41.7	-1.00	SL
30/10/2026, 06:50	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4017.49	4011.47	+60.2	+1.50	TP
29/10/2026, 16:00	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4021.11	4027.17	-60.6	-1.00	SL
29/10/2026, 15:10	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4023.43	4027.90	-44.7	-1.00	SL
29/10/2026, 08:05	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4038.96	4044.67	-57.1	-1.00	SL
29/10/2026, 05:30	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4070.21	4055.37	-148.4	-1.00	SL
29/10/2026, 00:00	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4038.72	4043.18	-44.6	-1.00	SL
28/10/2026, 23:10	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4044.22	4037.48	+67.4	+1.50	TP
28/10/2026, 21:30	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4048.86	4043.74	-51.2	-1.00	SL
28/10/2026, 19:05	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4048.00	4044.92	-30.8	-1.00	SL
28/10/2026, 18:05	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4047.08	4043.51	-35.7	-1.00	SL
28/10/2026, 17:15	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4053.55	4049.40	-41.5	-1.00	SL
28/10/2026, 15:45	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4047.02	4053.52	+65.0	+1.50	TP
28/10/2026, 15:05	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4039.65	4045.31	+56.6	+1.50	TP
28/10/2026, 08:55	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4058.49	4050.46	-80.3	-1.00	SL
27/10/2026, 22:05	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4042.34	4054.51	+121.7	+1.50	TP
27/10/2026, 21:35	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4032.63	4043.53	+109.0	+1.50	TP
27/10/2026, 20:35	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4025.90	4020.14	-57.6	-1.00	SL
27/10/2026, 19:50	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4025.39	4019.44	-59.5	-1.00	SL
27/10/2026, 19:30	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4011.48	4021.68	+102.0	+1.50	TP
27/10/2026, 17:45	XAUUSD M5	SELL	3995.77	4000.83	-50.6	-1.00	SL
27/10/2026, 17:00	XAUUSD M5	SELL	3996.73	4002.07	-53.4	-1.00	SL
27/10/2026, 03:55	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4013.12	4016.15	-30.3	-1.00	SL
27/10/2026, 00:45	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4024.99	4020.05	-49.4	-1.00	SL
26/10/2026, 22:30	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4026.24	4018.42	-78.2	-1.00	SL
26/10/2026, 21:10	XAUUSD M5	SELL	3992.94	3998.79	-58.5	-1.00	SL
26/10/2026, 20:55	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4003.22	3994.87	+83.5	+1.50	TP
26/10/2026, 20:35	XAUUSD M5	SELL	4012.69	4005.20	+74.9	+1.50	TP
26/10/2026, 19:45	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4024.83	4020.33	-45.0	-1.00	SL
26/10/2026, 19:30	XAUUSD M5	BUY	4016.39	4021.80	+54.1	+1.50	TP

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Educational only — not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.